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Red115
6557118.8
661193.7
7020101.4
Blue390
5505194.0
7244120.0
5661115.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123440100300400500115390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6557
#30
118.80.7
120.0120.7
Auto15.4
Teleop88.1
End13.3
blue by 75.2
194.00.6
172.2172.8
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
Second
7020
#40
101.40.3
101.1100.8
Auto12.8
Teleop77.6
End11.6
blue by 18.6
7244
#31
120.00.1
98.999.0
Auto15.5
Teleop86.8
End19.7
Third
6611
#36
93.70.5
93.293.7
Auto15.0
Teleop71.7
End4.4
blue by 21.7
5661
#15
115.41.7
119.6117.9
Auto15.0
Teleop86.8
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed