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Red182
7020101.4
6097130.2
6075103.6
Blue371
3537133.7
6088133.3
6557118.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073420100300400500182371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6097
#26
130.20.5
122.5123.0
Auto16.8
Teleop99.7
End14.4
blue by 3.5
3537
#25
133.71.4
134.9133.5
Auto16.5
Teleop102.9
End14.0
Second
6075
#39
103.60.8
104.7105.5
Auto15.5
Teleop73.6
End13.5
blue by 29.7
6088
#11
133.31.4
119.1120.5
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
Third
7020
#40
101.41.4
99.998.5
Auto12.8
Teleop77.6
End11.6
blue by 17.4
6557
#30
118.81.0
120.6121.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed