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Qual 232018 FIM District Alpena Event
Red341
5505194.0
2246109.3
715090.5
Blue220
7155118.6
7156100.4
7213133.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288258100200400500341220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#1
194.01.5
174.2→175.7
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
red by 60.5
7213
#33
133.50.7
132.6→133.3
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End17.9
Second
2246
#18
109.30.5
108.8→108.3
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 9.3
7155
#34
118.61.2
123.3→122.2
Auto15.4
Teleop86.6
End17.0
Third
7150
#20
90.51.3
92.8→91.5
Auto16.7
Teleop66.0
End14.2
blue by 9.9
7156
#35
100.41.3
89.6→90.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed