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Red410
7084115.1
6077160.1
5547144.4
Blue289
4983149.7
6121127.6
515697.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313269100150200250350400450410289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.10.0
155.6155.6
Auto16.7
Teleop122.0
End22.0
red by 10.4
149.70.1
146.7146.8
Auto19.1
Teleop111.7
End20.9
Second
144.41.5
128.4129.9
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
red by 16.8
6121
#14
127.60.6
129.8129.2
Auto23.4
Teleop92.9
End14.3
Third
7084
#16
115.10.0
112.6112.6
Auto19.2
Teleop88.7
End7.6
red by 17.4
5156
#38
97.60.9
108.9107.9
Auto14.4
Teleop75.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed