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Red135
661193.7
7250119.6
6637146.4
Blue427
6067150.1
5230157.3
7154121.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232355100200300400500600135427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#22
146.40.7
143.7144.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
blue by 10.8
157.32.8
136.5139.3
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Second
7250
#19
119.61.6
121.5119.9
Auto20.5
Teleop87.1
End11.8
blue by 30.5
6067
#10
150.11.7
145.8147.5
Auto17.7
Teleop104.9
End26.3
Third
6611
#36
93.70.4
93.493.8
Auto15.0
Teleop71.7
End4.4
blue by 27.4
121.11.2
108.0109.2
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed