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Red115
7172101.5
6545108.6
6557118.8
Blue328
5110119.9
6493134.0
5534131.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143070100400500115328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6557
#30
118.81.1
121.6122.7
Auto15.4
Teleop88.1
End13.3
blue by 15.2
134.01.3
116.3117.7
Auto14.6
Teleop105.1
End16.7
Second
6545
#24
108.61.4
105.8104.4
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
blue by 23.1
5534
#17
131.80.2
129.7129.9
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
Third
7172
#37
101.50.6
101.3100.7
Auto12.1
Teleop80.1
End11.5
blue by 18.4
5110
#28
119.92.3
122.5120.2
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed