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Red432
5547144.4
7250119.6
5230157.3
Blue190
7172101.5
2405145.3
3537133.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317277100200400500600700432190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.31.9
146.6148.4
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 12.0
2405
#21
145.32.6
135.6138.2
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
Second
144.41.6
134.8136.3
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
red by 10.7
3537
#25
133.70.5
132.0132.6
Auto16.5
Teleop102.9
End14.0
Third
7250
#19
119.60.8
115.6114.8
Auto20.5
Teleop87.1
End11.8
red by 18.0
7172
#37
101.50.4
100.7101.1
Auto12.1
Teleop80.1
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed