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Red219
6638101.3
5697132.7
6074102.7
Blue434
7020101.4
6493134.0
5505194.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063670100300400500600700219434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5697
#23
132.71.1
128.5129.5
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End21.7
blue by 61.4
194.01.0
180.8181.9
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
Second
6074
#29
102.70.1
102.7102.8
Auto16.7
Teleop74.1
End13.0
blue by 31.3
134.01.2
122.4123.6
Auto14.6
Teleop105.1
End16.7
Third
6638
#27
101.30.2
100.5100.2
Auto15.2
Teleop76.1
End12.2
blue by 0.1
7020
#40
101.40.2
98.398.5
Auto12.8
Teleop77.6
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed