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Qual 62018 FIM District Alpena Event
Red421
717194.0
5230157.3
5525139.8
Blue122
6557118.8
6638101.3
7084115.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27424950100150200300350400450421122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#4
157.31.4
129.8→131.1
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 38.5
6557
#30
118.81.4
118.6→120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop88.1
End13.3
Second
5525
#6
139.80.1
121.7→121.8
Auto18.9
Teleop95.9
End25.9
red by 24.7
7084
#16
115.10.8
114.6→113.8
Auto19.2
Teleop88.7
End7.6
Third
7171
#32
94.01.2
97.3→96.2
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End11.8
blue by 7.2
6638
#27
101.30.7
103.7→103.0
Auto15.2
Teleop76.1
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed