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Red124
6545108.6
7250119.6
2405145.3
Blue217
5697132.7
7213133.5
6493134.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262306100200400500124217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#21
145.32.6
123.4126.0
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
red by 11.3
134.00.5
114.3114.7
Auto14.6
Teleop105.1
End16.7
Second
7250
#19
119.60.7
121.3122.0
Auto20.5
Teleop87.1
End11.8
blue by 13.9
7213
#33
133.51.0
129.8130.8
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End17.9
Third
6545
#24
108.61.2
111.6110.3
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
blue by 24.0
5697
#23
132.70.4
127.5127.1
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed