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Red349
7084115.1
715090.5
3603150.4
Blue253
7020101.4
5534131.8
5547144.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248348100200300400500600349253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#13
150.40.4
149.3148.9
Auto16.7
Teleop110.7
End26.1
red by 6.1
144.41.8
140.2142.0
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
Second
7084
#16
115.10.3
114.2113.9
Auto19.2
Teleop88.7
End7.6
blue by 16.7
5534
#17
131.80.8
131.2132.0
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
Third
7150
#20
90.50.0
89.689.6
Auto16.7
Teleop66.0
End14.2
blue by 10.9
7020
#40
101.40.8
100.1100.9
Auto12.8
Teleop77.6
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed