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Red230
6545108.6
6077160.1
7154121.1
Blue163
6075103.6
6637146.4
3322144.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301295100200400500600230163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.10.6
158.0158.6
Auto16.7
Teleop122.0
End22.0
red by 13.7
6637
#22
146.40.6
147.3147.8
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
Second
121.11.5
118.1119.6
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End12.9
blue by 23.6
3322
#12
144.70.6
144.9145.5
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End13.6
Third
6545
#24
108.60.2
108.7108.9
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
red by 5.1
6075
#39
103.60.4
105.9105.5
Auto15.5
Teleop73.6
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed