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Red170
6088133.3
7156100.4
515697.6
Blue506
5230157.3
5661115.4
5193160.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203389100300500600700170506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#11
133.31.2
129.2130.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
blue by 27.3
160.61.1
154.0155.1
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
Second
7156
#35
100.41.3
97.999.2
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.9
blue by 56.9
157.31.0
153.1154.2
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Third
5156
#38
97.61.7
100.698.8
Auto14.4
Teleop75.9
End8.1
blue by 17.8
5661
#15
115.40.9
115.9115.1
Auto15.0
Teleop86.8
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned