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Red436
3604164.1
1732159.2
33202.7
Blue275
2832156.0
862183.9
6618177.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37134902006008001,000436275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#17
202.70.0
202.7202.7
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
red by 18.8
862
#4
183.90.0
183.9183.9
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
Second
164.10.0
164.1164.1
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
blue by 12.9
6618
#20
177.00.0
177.0177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
Third
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 3.2
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds93%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds