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Red256
439098.6
313115.9
4405179.2
Blue239
280112.6
5907163.7
999060.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31230502004006008001,000256239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 15.4
5907
#25
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
Second
313
#27
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
red by 3.3
280
#19
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
Third
4390
#14
98.60.0
98.698.6
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
red by 38.5
9990
#10
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds