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Red233
548149.1
9985106.9
4130161.6
Blue392
998960.1
998860.1
1481146.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362830100200400500600700233392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
red by 14.7
1481
#18
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Second
548
#13
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
red by 89.0
9988
#31
60.175.4
135.660.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
9985
#33
106.90.0
106.9106.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End12.3
red by 46.7
60.146.7
106.860.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest odds18%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds