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Red139
6914126.0
5502131.5
51157.9
Blue361
1732159.2
5090124.4
503176.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307365100200400500600700139361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
157.90.0
157.9157.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.1
End27.8
blue by 18.5
503
#7
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Second
5502
#11
131.50.0
131.5131.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
blue by 27.7
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Third
6914
#26
126.00.0
126.0126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
red by 1.5
5090
#24
124.40.0
124.4124.4
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds