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Red401
4405179.2
51157.9
5050204.6
Blue175
998760.1
1481146.9
9985106.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4661930100300400500600401175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.0
204.6204.6
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
red by 57.7
1481
#18
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Second
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 72.3
9985
#33
106.90.0
106.9106.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End12.3
Third
51
#15
157.90.0
157.9157.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.1
End27.8
red by 97.8
9987
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest odds19%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
66%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds