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Red235
998660.1
33202.7
5907163.7
Blue359
548149.1
1732159.2
308167.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3733340100200500600700800235359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#17
202.70.0
202.7202.7
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
red by 35.2
308
#30
167.50.0
167.5167.5
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Second
5907
#25
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
red by 4.6
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 89.0
548
#13
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest odds93%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss odds52%Face the Boss odds