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Qual 262018 Big Bang!
Red354
5530165.1
280112.6
5502131.5
Blue273
6861144.8
308167.5
51157.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294384100200500600700354273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#21
165.10.0
165.1→165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
blue by 2.4
308
#30
167.50.0
167.5→167.5
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Second
5502
#11
131.50.0
131.5→131.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
blue by 26.4
51
#15
157.90.0
157.9→157.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.1
End27.8
Third
280
#19
112.60.0
112.6→112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
blue by 32.2
6861
#22
144.80.0
144.8→144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds66%Face the Boss odds