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Red397
1732159.2
998660.1
998960.1
Blue199
4130161.6
5577144.0
2620117.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993310100200400500600397199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
blue by 2.4
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
Second
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 83.8
5577
#32
144.00.0
144.0144.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 57.4
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds