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Red318
4405179.2
280112.6
998760.1
Blue230
9985106.9
998860.1
1732159.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33227702004006008001,0001,200318230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 20.0
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Second
280
#19
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
red by 5.7
9985
#33
106.90.0
106.9106.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End12.3
Third
9987
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9988
#31
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest odds57%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds