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Red396
503176.4
2832156.0
548149.1
Blue257
5907163.7
5498125.9
5577144.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38330802006008001,0001,2001,400396257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#7
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
red by 12.7
5907
#25
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
Second
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
red by 12.1
5577
#32
144.00.0
144.0144.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
Third
548
#13
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
red by 23.2
5498
#28
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds86%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds