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Red435
2620117.6
1732159.2
862183.9
Blue137
9985106.9
6861144.8
4405179.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328338200300400500435137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
183.90.0
183.9183.9
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
red by 4.7
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
Second
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
red by 14.4
6861
#22
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Third
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
red by 10.7
9985
#33
106.90.0
106.9106.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds14%Face the Boss odds