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Red319
5530163.9
5046168.4
2620120.7
Blue386
4405184.6
1189194.4
5915139.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319375100200500600700319386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.40.2
168.0168.2
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
blue by 26.0
194.40.6
195.6195.0
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
Second
163.90.2
163.4163.6
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
blue by 20.8
184.60.4
185.3184.9
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
Third
2620
#16
120.70.4
119.9120.3
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
blue by 19.1
5915
#31
139.80.1
139.9139.8
Auto16.6
Teleop106.3
End16.4