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Red218
66182.5
5577144.0
4680137.6
Blue414
5907173.0
815138.7
5467145.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35533202006008001,000218414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#10
182.50.1
182.4182.5
Auto22.2
Teleop140.7
End17.9
red by 9.6
173.00.2
172.1172.2
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
Second
144.00.0
144.0144.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
blue by 1.5
5467
#26
145.50.0
145.1145.1
Auto16.3
Teleop113.8
End16.8
Third
4680
#29
137.60.2
137.8137.6
Auto16.1
Teleop105.9
End16.9
blue by 1.2
815
#8
138.70.4
137.1137.5
Auto18.9
Teleop104.9
End15.7