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Red317
5053156.0
4838118.1
4737134.3
Blue390
6570119.2
5046168.4
5577144.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222880100200400500600317390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.01.3
150.7152.0
Auto20.5
Teleop119.8
End17.7
blue by 12.3
168.41.7
156.4158.1
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
Second
4737
#23
134.30.2
134.9135.2
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
blue by 9.6
144.02.0
122.1124.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
Third
4838
#32
118.10.4
114.0114.5
Auto16.1
Teleop85.1
End16.1
blue by 1.1
6570
#24
119.22.2
121.1118.9
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed