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Red382
6528107.4
6136106.8
4405184.6
Blue200
1481146.9
5065104.7
4998123.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331280100200300400500382200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.61.8
172.6174.4
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
red by 37.7
1481
#15
146.91.8
141.2143.0
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Second
6528
#37
107.41.1
111.2112.3
Auto15.0
Teleop82.2
End9.4
blue by 16.2
4998
#21
123.71.0
121.8120.8
Auto16.9
Teleop92.1
End13.6
Third
6136
#33
106.80.1
102.4102.2
Auto15.8
Teleop81.1
End9.2
red by 2.1
5065
#40
104.70.9
115.6114.8
Auto13.4
Teleop82.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed