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Red185
6057102.6
5530163.9
240100.2
Blue300
5217112.9
484094.4
1189194.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225346100300400500600185300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.92.0
147.0149.0
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
blue by 30.5
194.42.5
187.3189.8
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
Second
6057
#28
102.60.2
104.2104.0
Auto14.7
Teleop81.4
End6.4
blue by 10.3
5217
#20
112.90.2
114.2114.4
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
Third
240
#35
100.21.5
105.8104.2
Auto17.3
Teleop74.9
End8.1
red by 5.9
4840
#34
94.40.8
90.691.4
Auto15.6
Teleop71.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed