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Red182
1076113.7
5901118.6
5090140.0
Blue324
240100.2
5046168.4
815138.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288313150200250350400450500182324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#13
140.00.5
134.4135.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
blue by 28.4
168.41.7
160.3162.0
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
Second
5901
#12
118.60.1
118.1118.2
Auto18.6
Teleop89.5
End9.6
blue by 20.2
815
#8
138.71.0
122.5123.5
Auto18.9
Teleop104.9
End15.7
Third
1076
#25
113.70.7
116.6117.3
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
red by 13.5
240
#35
100.21.8
104.2102.5
Auto17.3
Teleop74.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed