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Red257
6615130.3
6116102.5
6616119.6
Blue230
6152103.5
313115.9
6136106.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289230100200400500257230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
130.30.0
123.2123.3
Auto16.8
Teleop97.0
End18.8
red by 14.4
313
#27
115.90.5
107.4107.9
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
Second
6616
#19
119.60.4
109.8110.2
Auto18.4
Teleop89.6
End11.9
red by 12.9
6136
#33
106.81.5
102.8104.2
Auto15.8
Teleop81.1
End9.2
Third
6116
#36
102.50.8
104.6103.9
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End11.1
blue by 1.0
6152
#41
103.51.9
89.291.0
Auto11.6
Teleop82.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed