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Red392
5090140.0
313115.9
5530163.9
Blue237
4838118.1
2620120.7
4680137.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331267150200300350400450500392237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.91.8
151.3153.1
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
red by 26.3
4680
#29
137.60.8
142.2141.4
Auto16.1
Teleop105.9
End16.9
Second
5090
#13
140.00.2
134.6134.8
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
red by 19.3
2620
#16
120.70.2
115.3115.1
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
Third
313
#27
115.90.6
108.7109.3
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
blue by 2.1
4838
#32
118.10.4
114.6115.0
Auto16.1
Teleop85.1
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned