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Red368
5217112.9
5053156.0
6616119.6
Blue100
1076113.7
6528107.4
717594.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322230100200300400500368100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.00.1
152.7152.9
Auto20.5
Teleop119.8
End17.7
red by 42.3
1076
#25
113.70.2
117.1116.9
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
Second
6616
#19
119.61.9
110.9112.8
Auto18.4
Teleop89.6
End11.9
red by 12.2
6528
#37
107.40.3
115.2114.9
Auto15.0
Teleop82.2
End9.4
Third
5217
#20
112.90.8
113.7112.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
red by 18.0
7175
#38
94.93.6
96.4100.0
Auto17.9
Teleop73.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed