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Red362
2620120.7
4737134.3
5907173.0
Blue204
5053156.0
6152103.5
6116102.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592400100200300400500362204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.00.4
167.3167.8
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
red by 16.9
156.00.1
152.9153.0
Auto20.5
Teleop119.8
End17.7
Second
4737
#23
134.30.3
134.6134.9
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
red by 30.9
6152
#41
103.51.8
96.097.8
Auto11.6
Teleop82.0
End11.0
Third
2620
#16
120.70.1
115.1115.3
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
red by 18.2
6116
#36
102.50.7
105.2104.5
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed