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Red406
4405184.6
5217112.9
5530163.9
Blue248
5046168.4
6136106.8
2834171.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325324260280300340360380400406248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.61.4
179.4180.8
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
red by 12.9
171.71.8
160.9162.7
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
Second
163.92.2
153.1155.4
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
blue by 4.5
168.41.1
165.7166.8
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
Third
5217
#20
112.90.6
112.9112.3
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
red by 6.1
6136
#33
106.80.5
106.5107.0
Auto15.8
Teleop81.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed