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Red386
1481146.9
484094.4
6615130.3
Blue104
4737134.3
5217112.9
6528107.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633000100200400500600700386104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#15
146.90.3
143.7144.0
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
red by 12.5
4737
#23
134.30.5
135.6136.2
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
Second
6615
#17
130.30.8
125.9126.7
Auto16.8
Teleop97.0
End18.8
red by 17.4
5217
#20
112.90.9
112.5113.4
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
Third
4840
#34
94.40.6
94.493.8
Auto15.6
Teleop71.1
End6.9
blue by 13.1
6528
#37
107.41.6
112.2110.6
Auto15.0
Teleop82.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed