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Red252
6136106.8
6013104.3
5907173.0
Blue281
6057102.6
4405184.6
1076113.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294335100200400500600700252281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.01.2
168.7169.9
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
blue by 11.6
184.61.6
182.7184.3
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
Second
6136
#33
106.80.1
107.1107.2
Auto15.8
Teleop81.1
End9.2
blue by 7.0
1076
#25
113.70.8
115.0114.2
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
Third
6013
#39
104.30.6
103.4104.0
Auto14.4
Teleop81.2
End11.6
red by 1.7
6057
#28
102.60.0
102.6102.5
Auto14.7
Teleop81.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed