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Red356
5619103.1
66182.5
5090140.0
Blue118
6616119.6
7145108.3
4737134.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367253100200300400500600356118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#10
182.51.0
180.3181.2
Auto22.2
Teleop140.7
End17.9
red by 48.2
4737
#23
134.30.4
136.2135.8
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
Second
5090
#13
140.00.8
137.5138.3
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
red by 20.3
6616
#19
119.61.8
117.4119.2
Auto18.4
Teleop89.6
End11.9
Third
5619
#22
103.10.2
101.7101.8
Auto16.6
Teleop76.8
End10.6
blue by 5.2
7145
#30
108.30.3
109.8109.5
Auto16.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed