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Red218
6116102.5
6013104.3
5217112.9
Blue419
5907173.0
5053156.0
5901118.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1524040100200300500600218419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5217
#20
112.90.1
113.4113.3
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
blue by 60.1
173.00.8
169.9170.7
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
Second
6013
#39
104.30.3
104.0104.4
Auto14.4
Teleop81.2
End11.6
blue by 51.8
156.00.6
153.1153.7
Auto20.5
Teleop119.8
End17.7
Third
6116
#36
102.50.3
103.6103.3
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End11.1
blue by 16.1
5901
#12
118.60.4
118.4118.0
Auto18.6
Teleop89.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed