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Red207
4838118.1
1076113.7
5217112.9
Blue229
6057102.6
6116102.5
5090140.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275268150200250300350400207229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4838
#32
118.10.4
117.5118.0
Auto16.1
Teleop85.1
End16.1
blue by 21.9
5090
#13
140.00.8
138.3139.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
Second
1076
#25
113.70.1
113.6113.7
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
red by 11.2
6057
#28
102.60.0
102.5102.6
Auto14.7
Teleop81.4
End6.4
Third
5217
#20
112.90.4
113.3112.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
red by 10.4
6116
#36
102.50.7
103.3102.5
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed