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Red409
4680137.6
5619103.1
2834171.7
Blue99
5065104.7
5577144.0
6152103.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364237010020030040050060040999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.72.3
166.8169.1
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
red by 27.7
144.01.7
142.3143.9
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
Second
4680
#29
137.61.4
139.2137.9
Auto16.1
Teleop105.9
End16.9
red by 32.9
5065
#40
104.70.3
104.9104.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.1
End6.1
Third
5619
#22
103.10.3
101.8102.1
Auto16.6
Teleop76.8
End10.6
blue by 0.4
6152
#41
103.51.5
102.0103.5
Auto11.6
Teleop82.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed