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Red305
5436168.5
4779146.8
1189170.6
Blue352
245173.7
548162.9
83089.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34125602004006008001,000305352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#22
170.61.0
171.5170.6
Auto20.0
Teleop127.9
End18.4
blue by 3.2
245
#25
173.70.6
175.7175.0
Auto17.8
Teleop128.9
End26.0
Second
5436
#27
168.50.2
169.0168.8
Auto22.0
Teleop125.8
End20.1
red by 5.6
548
#6
162.90.2
163.0162.8
Auto18.3
Teleop129.2
End15.6
Third
146.80.0
146.7146.7
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
red by 57.7
830
#21
89.10.0
89.089.0
Auto16.4
Teleop75.4
End-0.9