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Red420
3539187.4
5843156.1
2834204.6
Blue105
3604157.9
51144.4
1684183.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38129702006008001,000420105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.1
204.3204.4
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
red by 20.8
183.80.0
183.9183.8
Auto23.5
Teleop139.3
End17.5
Second
187.40.0
187.4187.4
Auto23.1
Teleop142.1
End19.5
red by 29.5
157.90.2
157.7157.9
Auto19.3
Teleop116.8
End20.1
Third
5843
#19
156.10.5
157.5157.0
Auto23.5
Teleop121.3
End8.0
red by 11.7
51
#15
144.40.1
144.3144.4
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5