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Red233
5436168.5
4779146.8
469160.6
Blue347
245173.7
548162.9
1504130.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320319240260280300340360233347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#27
168.50.2
168.8168.5
Auto22.0
Teleop125.8
End20.1
blue by 5.2
245
#25
173.70.5
175.0174.5
Auto17.8
Teleop128.9
End26.0
Second
469
#20
160.60.4
161.0160.6
Auto17.8
Teleop114.3
End22.9
blue by 2.3
548
#6
162.90.1
162.8162.7
Auto18.3
Teleop129.2
End15.6
Third
146.80.1
146.7146.8
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
red by 16.3
1504
#10
130.50.3
131.1130.8
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End7.5