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Red249
83089.1
3322136.1
548162.9
Blue138
51144.4
3414128.0
1189170.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25932704006008001,0001,2001,400249138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#6
162.91.1
160.4161.5
Auto18.3
Teleop129.2
End15.6
blue by 7.6
1189
#22
170.61.8
178.7176.9
Auto20.0
Teleop127.9
End18.4
Second
3322
#13
136.11.5
139.6138.2
Auto18.0
Teleop102.0
End13.7
blue by 8.3
51
#15
144.41.1
148.3147.2
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5
Third
830
#21
89.11.3
91.790.4
Auto16.4
Teleop75.4
End-0.9
blue by 38.9
3414
#23
128.02.5
137.8135.2
Auto15.3
Teleop103.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed