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Red281
5577116.6
226148.2
2834204.6
Blue274
1504130.5
5436168.5
2832134.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34428802004006008001,000281274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.3
205.6205.3
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
red by 36.1
5436
#27
168.50.1
169.8169.7
Auto22.0
Teleop125.8
End20.1
Second
226
#26
148.22.1
154.2152.1
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End13.9
red by 13.4
2832
#28
134.91.9
142.5140.5
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End9.5
Third
116.60.9
118.1117.2
Auto17.3
Teleop93.5
End5.9
blue by 13.9
1504
#10
130.50.2
131.9131.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed