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Red198
33188.9
5843156.1
4779146.8
Blue369
3641173.1
3604157.9
2960158.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183100200400600800198369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
188.91.7
196.5194.8
Auto22.3
Teleop142.9
End21.4
red by 15.9
3641
#11
173.10.7
174.4173.6
Auto22.0
Teleop140.5
End8.8
Second
5843
#19
156.11.1
163.5162.5
Auto23.5
Teleop121.3
End8.0
blue by 2.1
158.21.2
159.8158.6
Auto22.5
Teleop127.5
End5.1
Third
146.80.1
147.7147.8
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
blue by 11.1
157.91.3
159.4158.1
Auto19.3
Teleop116.8
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed