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Red363
245173.7
51144.4
5577116.6
Blue277
4961151.9
3604157.9
910154.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593380100200300400500600700363277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#25
173.71.2
179.1177.9
Auto17.8
Teleop128.9
End26.0
red by 15.8
157.90.4
158.1157.7
Auto19.3
Teleop116.8
End20.1
Second
51
#15
144.42.1
147.2145.1
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5
blue by 9.6
910
#32
154.03.0
160.0157.0
Auto19.5
Teleop125.2
End6.7
Third
116.60.9
117.2116.3
Auto17.3
Teleop93.5
End5.9
blue by 35.3
4961
#14
151.91.3
154.4153.1
Auto25.0
Teleop115.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed