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Red227
3322136.1
226148.2
5436168.5
Blue313
469160.6
2960158.2
4779146.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963450100200400500600227313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#27
168.50.1
169.7169.6
Auto22.0
Teleop125.8
End20.1
red by 7.9
469
#20
160.60.2
161.7161.8
Auto17.8
Teleop114.3
End22.9
Second
226
#26
148.21.8
152.1150.3
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End13.9
blue by 10.0
158.20.4
158.6158.2
Auto22.5
Teleop127.5
End5.1
Third
3322
#13
136.11.1
138.2137.1
Auto18.0
Teleop102.0
End13.7
blue by 10.7
146.80.4
147.8147.5
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed