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Red157
772180.6
51144.4
302199.6
Blue276
5577116.6
2960158.2
503166.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4412370400600800157276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#29
199.61.8
208.4210.1
Auto19.1
Teleop163.0
End12.9
red by 32.8
503
#18
166.80.4
170.4169.9
Auto22.7
Teleop121.2
End19.6
Second
772
#16
180.60.0
191.3191.3
Auto22.6
Teleop134.5
End22.7
red by 22.4
158.21.4
163.5162.1
Auto22.5
Teleop127.5
End5.1
Third
51
#15
144.40.8
150.3151.1
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5
red by 27.8
116.60.1
119.3119.4
Auto17.3
Teleop93.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed